Report | February 2025
Generative AI and evolving threats – reshaping the insurance industry
The world of cyber security is changing fast, driven by the evolution of artificial intelligence (AI). As technology gets smarter, so do the people who want to use it for harm. Old threats are becoming more dangerous and new ones are appearing. This convergence of AI and cyber security is reshaping the risk landscape, producing unprecedented challenges, but also opportunities for the insurance industry, according to a new report from Allianz Commercial.
Since the launch of OpenAI's ChatGPT in 2022, the development and application of AI technology has accelerated exponentially. But while AI holds the obvious potential to revolutionize industries, including the insurance sector, it is also changing how cyber criminals attack and steal information, giving rise to a new generation of sophisticated threats that go far beyond traditional attack methods.
These include deepfake technology that can perfectly mimic voices and videos for deception, AI-powered malware that actively evades detection while targeting valuable data, and intelligent social engineering systems that create convincing fake profiles by analyzing online behavior patterns. Additionally, AI has revolutionized traditional attack vectors like password cracking and distributed denial-of-service (DDoS) attacks by making them more precise and effective, with systems that can intelligently identify vulnerabilities and optimize attack timing for maximum impact.
On the flip slide, the same AI technology is also being used to protect computers, devices and networks. More than two-thirds of businesses are now using AI for cyber security, which can help to spot and stop cyber-attacks faster than ever before. One industry projection indicates cyber security AI spending will reach $46.3bn by 2027, while others indicate this total could rise to more than triple that amount in the years following.
“As the digital risk landscape continues to evolve, the strategic integration of AI will become fundamental to providing effective risk management solutions and maintaining competitive advantage in the cyber insurance market,” says Rajat Dubey, Senior Cyber Risk Consultant, Allianz Commercial. “This transformation marks a crucial inflection point where the synergy between AI, cyber security, and insurance will define the future of risk protection in our increasingly interconnected digital ecosystem.”
Adapting insurance products and services
AI’s ongoing evolution, and the subsequent changes in the risk landscape, are projected to play a major role in the expected doubling in size of the cyber insurance market in the next few years to close to US$30bn, but AI is also expected to transform the insurance industry in many ways, the report notes.
For example, AI-powered data analysis allows for more accurate risk profiling and real-time risk assessment. Predictive modeling for emerging AI-related risks will enhance underwriting processes. AI-powered automation can streamline claims processing, enabling faster and more accurate assessments, while AI will also enhance fraud detection by quickly identifying patterns and inconsistencies in claims. – studies already show a 40%+ improvement in fraudulent claim detection.
However, as AI technologies progress, insurance companies will also need to adapt their products and services in future to meet new challenges and customer needs and the report also highlights a number of ways in which this could happen, including traditional cyber insurance being expanded to explicitly cover AI-specific threats like deepfake attacks or AI-powered social engineering; new types of insurance policies being developed to cover liabilities arising from AI system errors or unexpected behaviors; and an increase in more granular, usage-based insurance products tailored to specific, short-term risks.
AI will also spur innovation in risk mitigation services and tools, helping to shift the focus of insurance from reactive compensation to proactive risk mitigation. AI systems can analyze vast amounts of data to identify patterns and predict potential issues before they occur, enabling insurers to help prevent losses rather than just paying claims after the event.
"AI is set to redefine the insurance industry, fueling the cyber insurance market's growth while advancing risk assessment, underwriting and claims handling," says Rishi Baviskar, Global Head of Cyber Risk Consulting, Allianz Commercial. "As AI enhances fraud detection, real-time risk evaluation, and automation, insurers must adapt to emerging AI-specific threats, evolving regulations, and the shift towards proactive risk mitigation."
Industry preparedness and response
Ultimately, preparedness for AI-driven transformation is a work in progress. Collaborative efforts and information sharing are crucial to addressing the complex nature of AI-related risks. Industry consortiums, public-private partnerships, and cross-industry collaboration are essential for developing effective responses.
The regulatory landscape surrounding AI in insurance is complex and rapidly evolving, presenting significant compliance challenges. Businesses and their insurers must navigate emerging AI regulations, data protection and privacy concerns, and algorithmic fairness to ensure compliance and ethical AI practices, the report concludes.
This is the first in a series of three reports from Allianz Commercial on cyber risk issues, which were voted the top concern for businesses in the Allianz Risk Barometer 2025.
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